Trump's Wall Will Have Unintended Consequnce

THE ATLANTIC HAD AN INTERESTING HYPOTHESIS IN REGARD TO DONALD
TRUMP'S WALL ALONG THE MEXICAN BORDER, AND HOW THERE COULD BE
SOME UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES THAT MAY BE THE TRUMP
ADMINISTRATION HASN'T THOUGHT ABOUT.
NO!
THEY COULD ACTUALLY LEAD TO LESS PEOPLE ACTUALLY LEAVING THE
UNITED STATES.
IT STARTS OUT WITH THIS PREMISE THAT SAYS, IT TURNS OUT THAT
DATA INDICATES THAT MORE IMMIGRANTS ARE LEAVING THE
COUNTRY THEN COMING IN, SO NET IMMIGRATION FROM MEXICO IS
ACTUALLY AT AN ALL-TIME LOW.
BUT, IF YOU BUILD THIS WALL, PEOPLE WHO MIGHT HAVE OTHERWISE
LEFT WON'T LEAVE BECAUSE IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO COME BACK TO THE
U.S.
THIS IS AN INTERESTING THEORY AND I WANT TO HASH IT OUT A BIT.
PRIOR TO 1986,
IT WAS ACTUALLY A FAIRLY POROUS BORDER, EASY TO COME IN AND
OUT, SO A LOT OF UNDER ñ A LOT OF UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRANTS,
MEANT TO BE SPECIFIC, WOULD COME TO THE UNITED STATES, WORK
FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME, AND THEN GO BACK TO THEIR FAMILIES.
AND THEN THINGS CHANGED UNDER THE REAGAN ADMINISTRATION.
THE INCREASING ñ THE INCREASED FOURTH EDITION OF THE
BORDER AFTER 1986 ALSO ALTERED THE DEMOGRAPHICS OF MIGRATION.
ONCE MEN REALIZED THEY WOULD SETTLE IN THE UNITED STATES
BECAUSE THEY COULD NOT GO BACK AND FORTH, ENCOURAGE THEIR WIVES
AND CHILDREN TO HEAD NORTH WITH THEM.
SO, INCREDIBLY, REAGAN'S TOUGH STANCE ON IMMIGRATION LED
TO MORE UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRANTS IN THE COUNTRY.
YES, AND WE HAVE THIS VIEW OF REAGAN AS A TOTAL
RIGHT-WINGER, AND HE WAS IN MANY RESPECTS.
BUT REMEMBER, HIS STANCE ON INNOVATION WAS NOT THAT
TOUGH, HE'S THE GUY THAT DID AMNESTY.
NOT PRETEND AMNESTY, ACTUAL AMNESTY FOR EVERY
UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRANT IN THE COUNTRY AT THE TIME.
BY TODAY'S STANDARDS, THEY WOULD CONSIDER THAT SO LIBERAL.
FAST-FORWARD ñ FAST-FORWARD TO 2008, AFTER THE RECESSION
HITS, ONE MEXICAN STARTED RETURNING TO FROM THE
UNITED STATES THEN THOSE WHO WERE CROSSING THE BORDER NORTH.
THE SLOW RECOVERY OF THE ECONOMY AFTER 2008 AND THE DISC ñ
AND THE DECREASING NUMBER OF JOBS AVAILABLE TO
IMMIGRANTS MADE UNITED STATES LESS ATTRACTIVE.
SO, NOW THERE MIGHT BE PEOPLE WHO FELT LIKE MAYBE IT'S A GOOD
IDEA TO LEAVE, BUT THEY REALIZE, MAYBE I SHOULD SIT IT OUT,
BECAUSE IF IT'S GOING TO BE REALLY DIFFICULT TO COME BACK
INTO THE COUNTRY, I'M JUST WANT TO RISK IT BY STAYING HERE AND
NOT LEAVING, AND WE'LL SEE WHAT HAPPENS AS THE ECONOMY IMPROVES.
AND IT HAS BEEN IMPROVING.
I THINK IT'S AN INTERESTING THEORY, BUT WHAT I TAKE AWAY
FROM THIS STORY, THERE CURRENTLY NO ONE ELSE TAKES AWAY IN
THE MEDIA, IS THAT MORE MEXICANS ARE LEAVING THIS COUNTRY.
WHY WOULD WE SPEND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON A BORDER WALL
THAT IS A HUGE WASTE OF MONEY?
ALSO, TUNNELS.
I WANTED TO GIVE YOU CREDIT HERE, YOU ARE THE ONE WHO HAS
BEEN POUNDING THE DRUM ON THIS ISSUE, SAYING THAT THEY ARE
LEAVING!
IF YOU BUILD A WALL THEY WON'T BE ABLE TO LEAVE! AND ANA SAID
THIS A LONG TIME AGO, NOT ONLY ON THIS SHOW, BUT ON CNN AS
WELL, AND EVERY TIME SHE SAYS IT THEY GO, I DID NOT KNOW THAT.
THERE'S MULTIPLE LAYERS TO THIS.
ONE IS THAT IF THE WALL GETS BUILT, THEY WILL BE ABLE TO
LEAVE, SO MAYBE THEY SHOULD STAY.
THE SECOND PART IS IF THE WALL ACTUALLY GETS BUILT.
THEY DOUBLED WON'T GET THERE, BECAUSE TRUMP IS INCOMPETENT,
BUT IF THEY DID, THEN THEY WOULD LITERALLY BE TRAPPED.
I READ A STORY JUST IN PASSING, HAVE THE DETAILS, THAT
THERE WAS AN IMMIGRANT CENTER IN CANADA THAT HAD TO
TEMPORARILY STOP BECAUSE THERE WAS TOO MANY IMMIGRANTS
COMING IN FROM AMERICA.
WOW.
OKAY?
SO, PEOPLE ARE FLEEING IN ALL DIRECTIONS.
AND SO, IF YOU BUILD A WALL, THE MEXICANS CAN'T GET OUT.
WRITE, NOW SOME MIGHT ARGUE, NO, THEY'RE NOT GOING TO GIVE
THEM A TOUGH TIME IF THEY ARE TRYING TO LEAVE THE COUNTRY.
BUT REMEMBER, TRUMP BELIEVES IN DETAINING THESE INDIVIDUALS
IN DETENTION CENTERS, GIVING THEM ESSENTIALLY A PRISON
SENTENCE BEFORE DEPORTING THEM.
AND IF YOU ARE THINKING, HE WANTS TO GET THEM OUT OF
THE COUNTRY, WHY WOULD HE KEEP THEM HERE?
BECAUSE THEY ARE PRIVATE PRISONS, AND THEY MAKE A BUCK
OFF OF IT COMES ABOUT THE SITUATION GOING ON HERE.
SO, THIS WILL PLAY OUT IN MULTIPLE DIFFERENT
DIRECTIONS, BUT RIGHT NOW, BEFORE THE WALL IS BEING BUILT,
A LOT OF THEM OF COURSE WANT TO STAY, AND THEY ARE STAYING PUT
BECAUSE THEY DON'T WANT TO LEAVE AND NOT BE ABLE TO COME BACK.
SO, YES, COUNTERINTUITIVE AND THE EXACT OPPOSITE OF WHAT TRUMP
SUPPORTERS WANTED, WHERE NOW UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRANTS ARE
BEING SURE THAT THEY STAY.

Trump's Wall Will Have Unintended Consequnce

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